25
Aug
09

538

“As I’ve been telling people all week here in Pittsburgh, there’s ample reason for Democrats to be worried — perhaps deeply so — about 2010.”

So yeah, this was posted a couple of weeks back on fivethirtyeight, Nate Silver’s website that made headlines when it predicted the results of the 2008 election with remarkable accuracy (Nate Silver is also a baseball statistician). The details are a little mundane, and my eyes kind of glaze over when reading about stats and probability, but what struck me interesting about this article when it first came to my attention was the fact that it was one of the first credible sources predicting trouble for the Democrats in 2010. Of course, in the 10 days since this was published, the Democrat’s inability to control the debate on healthcare made their future look dim to many commentators. I wonder, exactly, how much control the Democrats will attempt to get done while they still have majorities and a mandate? It seems like, so far, opportunities are being squandered. Personally, I think a watered-down healthcare bill will reflect a pretty serious lack of commitment on the Dem side, and an indication of Obama’s unwillingness to be a strong president.

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